Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -303 PRST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -5.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -5.4 (+0.6) | 142.5 (+25.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -4.5 (+1.5) | 140.9 (+27.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.5 (+1.5) | 142.8 (+25.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -4.8 (+1.2) | 142.6 (+25.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#150) | -4.7 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#126) | -0.27 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#142) | -0.56 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#96) | 0.481 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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