Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -135 DART +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -1.8 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -0.8 (+20.2) | 137.3 (+5.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -1.6 (+19.4) | 139.2 (+3.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -0.6 (+20.4) | 135.0 (+8.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -0.5 (+20.5) | 136.3 (+6.7) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
| Jan 15, 2024 | PRIN 76 – 58 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#258) | -4.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#285) | -0.90 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#273) | -1.22 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#285) | 0.475 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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