Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DART -110 PRIN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DART -5.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -3.1 (-1.1) | 144.4 (-4.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -2.6 (-0.6) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -3.5 (-1.5) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -3.6 (-1.6) | 143.1 (-3.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
| Jan 15, 2024 | PRIN 76 – 58 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#215) | -4.9 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#239) | -1.04 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#235) | -1.10 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#230) | 0.451 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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