Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -360 DART +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -5.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -4.6 (-19.6) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -7.7 (-22.7) | 143.0 (-6.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.9 (-18.9) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -3.5 (-18.5) | 143.8 (-6.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
| Jan 15, 2024 | PRIN 76 – 58 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#174) | -3.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#121) | -0.61 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#153) | -0.83 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#95) | 0.489 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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