Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | DART +1050 PRIN -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -16.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -13.1 (+1.1) | 130.9 (-6.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -14.8 (+2.8) | 132.9 (-8.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -14.4 (+2.4) | 132.7 (-8.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -14.9 (+2.9) | 132.6 (-8.6) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Jan 15, 2024 | PRIN 76 – 58 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-21 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 12-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 0-14 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#333) | 8.6 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#332) | 2.32 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#329) | 2.61 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#328) | 0.608 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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