Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DART +270 PRIN -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -4.7 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -4.2 (+3.2) | 148.5 (+12.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -5.5 (+4.5) | 147.3 (+13.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.8 (+2.8) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -3.7 (+2.7) | 149.0 (+12.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
| Jan 15, 2024 | PRIN 76 – 58 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#279) | 1.4 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#264) | 1.08 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#273) | 0.81 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#264) | 0.558 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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