Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -5000 DART +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -27.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -22.3 (-4.3) | 133.0 (+1.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -20.5 (-2.5) | 135.9 (-1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -20.7 (-2.7) | 135.9 (-1.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -22.3 (-4.3) | 135.1 (-1.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 2-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#37) | -11.8 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#13) | -1.86 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#14) | -2.18 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#17) | 0.394 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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