What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money WVU +136 / BYU -162
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +8 150 Won
Massey BYU -6.0 (+14.0)
Massey Totals 145.5 (+4.5)
Bradley-Terry 26%
Weighted B-T 26%
Efficiency Plus ML BYU -2.8 (+10.8) 139.8 (+10.2) 45%
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -3.7 (+11.7) 138.8 (+11.2) 33%
Baseline ML BYU -3.9 (+11.9) 139.5 (+10.5) 35%
Baseline Plus ML BYU -3.7 (+11.7) 138.8 (+11.2) 35%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 BYU 6848 WVU
Mar 2, 2025 BYU 7756 WVU
Feb 12, 2025 BYU 7369 WVU
Feb 3, 2024 BYU 8673 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU BYU
Overall 21-14 23-12
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 15-3 14-3
Away 3-6 3-6
Neutral 3-5 6-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak W3 L2
Avg Pts For 70.6 83.5
Avg Pts Against 65.7 75.4
Massey 9.5 (#61) 18.4 (#21)
Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#63) 3.14 (#19)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.19 (#59) 3.84 (#21)
RPI 0.529 (#113) 0.618 (#21)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU BYU
FG% 44.4% 48.0%
3PT% 33.4% 35.2%
REB / G 34.6 39.0
OREB / G 10.2 12.3
AST / TO 1.14 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 55.1%
TOV% 17.2% 14.8%
ORB% 30.4% 34.1%
FT Rate 23.6% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 16.1%
DRB% 71.9% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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