Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -140 BYU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -2.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -0.3 (-4.3) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -3.2 (-7.2) | 136.4 (+5.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.9 (-6.9) | 137.9 (+4.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -4.1 (-8.1) | 136.9 (+5.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | BYU 68 – 48 WVU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | WVU 79 – 71 BYU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BYU 77 – 56 WVU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BYU 86 – 73 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#38) | 14.0 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#44) | 1.67 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#47) | 2.20 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#45) | 0.546 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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