Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -162 UNH +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +23 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -5.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -4.1 (+18.9) | 137.4 (+7.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -4.0 (+19.0) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -4.1 (+18.9) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -4.1 (+18.9) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UALB 86 – 79 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#322) | -13.1 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#342) | -2.62 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#337) | -3.13 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#318) | 0.412 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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