Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | UALB +100 UNH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +24 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -1.7 (+22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -1.1 (+22.9) | 159.0 (-1.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -0.3 (+23.7) | 159.1 (-1.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -1.0 (+23.0) | 155.8 (+2.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -0.9 (+23.1) | 156.8 (+1.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UALB 86 – 79 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#257) | -3.0 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#273) | -0.03 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#275) | -0.34 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#249) | 0.515 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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