Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -148 UALB +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -2.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -0.0 (+8.0) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -0.2 (+8.2) | 137.2 (+14.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -0.6 (+7.4) | 132.6 (+19.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.4 (+6.6) | 133.8 (+18.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UALB 86 – 79 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#310) | -9.5 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#338) | -1.96 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#337) | -2.15 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#291) | 0.409 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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