Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +500 UALB -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -8.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -9.4 (+5.4) | 141.9 (-23.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -8.0 (+4.0) | 139.6 (-21.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -8.9 (+4.9) | 140.3 (-22.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -9.3 (+5.3) | 139.5 (-21.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UALB 86 – 79 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#360) | -4.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.25 (#364) | -0.63 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.66 (#363) | -0.70 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#355) | 0.470 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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