Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -200 UALB +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +7 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -6.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -5.2 (-12.2) | 156.5 (+8.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -5.6 (-12.6) | 157.8 (+7.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -5.2 (-12.2) | 154.9 (+10.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -5.2 (-12.2) | 155.4 (+9.6) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#186) | -3.6 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#138) | -0.60 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#163) | -0.84 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#127) | 0.474 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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