Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UALB -1200 UNH +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -13.5 (-24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -11.2 (-22.2) | 146.4 (-15.4) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -9.9 (-20.9) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -10.7 (-21.7) | 144.5 (-13.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -11.1 (-22.1) | 145.4 (-14.4) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UALB 86 – 79 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#271) | -16.8 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#250) | -2.40 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#251) | -3.16 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#263) | 0.390 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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