Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN +150 HARV -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +2 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -3.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -1.4 (-0.6) | 132.1 (-18.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -3.3 (+1.3) | 131.8 (-17.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -2.7 (+0.7) | 132.2 (-18.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -2.5 (+0.5) | 132.2 (-18.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | HARV 87 – 80 PRIN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRIN 76 – 71 HARV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRIN 68 – 64 HARV |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 66 – 53 HARV |
| Jan 6, 2024 | PRIN 89 – 58 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#258) | 0.3 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#285) | -0.14 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#273) | -0.26 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#285) | 0.500 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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