Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -425 HARV +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -9.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -7.2 (-2.2) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -9.5 (-4.5) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -7.4 (-2.4) | 138.2 (+8.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -7.0 (-2.0) | 138.7 (+8.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HARV 58 – 56 PRIN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HARV 87 – 80 PRIN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRIN 68 – 64 HARV |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 66 – 53 HARV |
| Jan 6, 2024 | PRIN 89 – 58 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#168) | -6.4 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#123) | -0.81 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#157) | -1.07 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#98) | 0.478 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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