Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -900 HARV +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +31 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -16.1 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -12.5 (+18.5) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -13.4 (+17.6) | 142.0 (+5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -13.0 (+18.0) | 143.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -12.8 (+18.2) | 144.3 (+2.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HARV 58 – 56 PRIN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HARV 87 – 80 PRIN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRIN 76 – 71 HARV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRIN 68 – 64 HARV |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 66 – 53 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 5-9 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#44) | -0.8 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#16) | 0.85 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#18) | 0.69 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#14) | 0.536 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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