Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | HARV +225 PRIN -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +13 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -7.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -6.8 (-6.2) | 137.5 (-18.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.1 (-6.9) | 138.6 (-19.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.9 (-7.1) | 139.5 (-20.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -5.6 (-7.4) | 137.5 (-18.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HARV 58 – 56 PRIN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HARV 87 – 80 PRIN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRIN 76 – 71 HARV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRIN 68 – 64 HARV |
| Jan 6, 2024 | PRIN 89 – 58 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 12-2 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#201) | 8.6 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#138) | 2.32 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | 2.61 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.608 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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