Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +114 WIS -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +17 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -0.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -0.8 (-17.8) | 152.3 (+10.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -1.9 (-18.9) | 147.1 (+15.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.4 (-18.4) | 149.1 (+13.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.5 (-17.5) | 150.1 (+12.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | WIS 85 – 82 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WIS 88 – 62 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#48) | 14.3 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#77) | 2.53 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#63) | 3.13 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#107) | 0.587 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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