Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -1400 WASH +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -16.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -13.6 (+12.4) | 155.2 (-5.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -14.1 (+11.9) | 153.6 (-3.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -14.1 (+11.9) | 155.2 (-5.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -15.0 (+11.0) | 154.7 (-4.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | WIS 85 – 82 WASH |
| Feb 28, 2026 | WIS 90 – 73 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#14) | 5.1 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#15) | 1.03 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#11) | 1.38 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#20) | 0.518 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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