Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -340 GASO +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +17 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -9.7 (-26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -8.9 (-25.9) | 159.9 (+21.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -8.8 (-25.8) | 163.3 (+17.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -10.8 (-27.8) | 161.4 (+19.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -8.8 (-25.8) | 161.2 (+19.8) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | GASO 82 – 78 MRSH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GASO 101 – 87 MRSH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRSH 71 – 67 GASO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 69 GASO |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GASO 87 – 73 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#168) | -7.0 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#122) | -0.82 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#156) | -1.28 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#70) | 0.451 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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