Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -380 GASO +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -10.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -6.7 (+5.3) | 146.4 (+3.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -7.4 (+4.6) | 147.4 (+2.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -7.3 (+4.7) | 146.5 (+3.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -6.1 (+5.9) | 145.8 (+4.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | GASO 82 – 78 MRSH |
| Feb 28, 2026 | GASO 99 – 82 MRSH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GASO 101 – 87 MRSH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRSH 71 – 67 GASO |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GASO 87 – 73 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#205) | -8.4 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#214) | -0.58 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#217) | -1.11 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#238) | 0.465 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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