Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +130 MRSH -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +14 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -4.7 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -3.4 (+17.4) | 153.6 (+34.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -3.6 (+17.6) | 156.0 (+32.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.9 (+17.9) | 156.4 (+31.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.7 (+17.7) | 153.7 (+34.3) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | GASO 82 – 78 MRSH |
| Feb 28, 2026 | GASO 99 – 82 MRSH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRSH 71 – 67 GASO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 69 GASO |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GASO 87 – 73 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#278) | 0.5 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#243) | 0.46 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#270) | 0.32 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#280) | 0.549 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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