Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | GASO +110 MRSH -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -2.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -1.8 (-2.2) | 148.3 (-10.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -2.7 (-1.3) | 150.0 (-12.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -2.8 (-1.2) | 150.0 (-12.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -2.0 (-2.0) | 149.7 (-11.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | GASO 82 – 78 MRSH |
| Feb 28, 2026 | GASO 99 – 82 MRSH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GASO 101 – 87 MRSH |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 69 GASO |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GASO 87 – 73 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#274) | -0.7 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#209) | -0.18 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#233) | -0.27 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#194) | 0.494 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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