Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +100 MRSH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +14 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -0.6 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -0.1 (+13.9) | 148.2 (+11.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -0.7 (+14.7) | 148.8 (+11.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -0.3 (+13.7) | 151.4 (+8.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -0.5 (+13.5) | 149.7 (+10.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | GASO 82 – 78 MRSH |
| Feb 28, 2026 | GASO 99 – 82 MRSH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GASO 101 – 87 MRSH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRSH 71 – 67 GASO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 69 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#303) | -4.2 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#327) | -0.68 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#307) | -0.72 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#336) | 0.472 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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