Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -192 MASS +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +19 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -5.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -2.9 (+16.1) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -5.0 (+14.0) | 150.6 (-7.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.7 (+15.3) | 151.7 (-8.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -5.0 (+14.0) | 153.3 (-10.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | BGSU 101 – 100 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#146) | -1.2 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#186) | -0.32 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#172) | -0.33 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#217) | 0.491 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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