Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MASS +105 BGSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +1 | 201 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -2.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+54.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -1.2 (+0.2) | 142.6 (+58.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -1.0 (+0.0) | 142.0 (+59.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -2.2 (+1.2) | 143.0 (+58.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -2.8 (+1.8) | 146.0 (+55.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BGSU 81 – 62 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#176) | 6.4 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#176) | 0.79 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#177) | 1.42 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#205) | 0.522 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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