Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -800 RID +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +22 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -14.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.9 (+11.1) | 141.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -10.2 (+11.8) | 143.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -12.2 (+9.8) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -12.1 (+9.9) | 141.6 (-3.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | IONA 94 – 93 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 4-25 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#243) | -16.4 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#220) | -3.05 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#218) | -3.89 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#192) | 0.392 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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