Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RID -133 IONA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | RID -0.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.1 (+3.1) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -0.5 (+2.5) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.2 (+2.8) | 147.1 (+5.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -0.2 (+3.2) | 146.6 (+6.4) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 4, 2024 | IONA 94 – 93 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#245) | -1.2 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#290) | -0.40 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#290) | -0.35 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#249) | 0.496 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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