Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Iona Gaels
71 74
FINAL Conference
Rider Broncs
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Hynes Athletics Center · February 15, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread IONA -5.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money IONA -250 / RID +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total IONA win
Actual RID +3 145 Lost
Massey IONA -6.0 (-9.0)
Massey Totals 135.4 (+9.6)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 80%
Efficiency Plus ML IONA -4.3 (-7.3) 138.3 (+6.7) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML IONA -4.1 (-7.1) 135.9 (+9.1) 67%
Baseline ML IONA -4.5 (-7.5) 137.1 (+7.9) 69%
Baseline Plus ML IONA -4.5 (-7.5) 137.4 (+7.6) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 IONA 8058 RID
Jan 15, 2026 RID 7268 IONA
Jan 24, 2025 IONA 7367 RID
Feb 24, 2024 RID 7875 IONA
Feb 4, 2024 IONA 9493 RID

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IONA RID
Overall 17-17 14-19
Conference 12-8 9-11
Home 7-7 5-7
Away 7-7 8-11
Neutral 3-3 1-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 67.0
Avg Pts Against 70.5 71.8
Massey -6.8 (#276) -9.7 (#317)
Bradley-Terry -0.77 (#244) -1.39 (#295)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.19 (#261) -1.94 (#306)
RPI 0.465 (#245) 0.433 (#301)
Shooting & Four Factors IONA RID
FG% 40.8% 42.2%
3PT% 30.7% 29.9%
REB / G 36.7 34.5
OREB / G 15.0 11.3
AST / TO 0.88 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 46.6%
TOV% 21.7% 17.8%
ORB% 39.5% 32.3%
FT Rate 20.9% 21.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 23.9% 15.8%
DRB% 70.0% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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