Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -250 RID +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -6.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.5 (-7.5) | 137.4 (+7.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.3 (-7.3) | 138.3 (+6.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.1 (-7.1) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.5 (-7.5) | 137.1 (+7.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | IONA 94 – 93 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#276) | -9.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#244) | -1.39 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#261) | -1.94 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#245) | 0.433 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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