Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | RID +120 IONA -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -1.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.9 (-6.9) | 132.9 (+7.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.2 (-6.2) | 133.4 (+6.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -0.5 (-6.5) | 132.9 (+7.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.3 (-6.3) | 133.5 (+6.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | IONA 94 – 93 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#316) | -7.6 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#267) | -1.27 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#292) | -1.67 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#268) | 0.432 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 40.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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