Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Conference USA · VyStar Arena · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -11.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money KENN -850 / DEL +575
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +8 172 Won
Massey KENN -9.7 (-1.7)
Massey Totals 151.9 (+20.1)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 88%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -10.2 (-2.2) 147.6 (+24.4) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -8.2 (-0.2) 147.4 (+24.6) 81%
Baseline ML KENN -8.2 (-0.2) 148.4 (+23.6) 81%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -9.3 (-1.3) 148.0 (+24.0) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 DEL 6752 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN DEL
Overall 21-14 10-21
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 13-3 5-10
Away 4-8 4-10
Neutral 4-3 1-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 67.9
Avg Pts Against 78.2 74.1
Massey 0.0 (#165) -6.6 (#270)
Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#160) -1.23 (#276)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#163) -1.36 (#264)
RPI 0.499 (#187) 0.442 (#293)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN DEL
FG% 43.1% 45.2%
3PT% 34.0% 36.6%
REB / G 39.2 30.6
OREB / G 13.7 6.3
AST / TO 1.11 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 53.6%
TOV% 17.0% 18.1%
ORB% 35.6% 21.2%
FT Rate 30.2% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 13.8%
DRB% 69.5% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 35.5% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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