Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -1000 SC +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +19 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -14.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -13.5 (+5.5) | 163.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -12.6 (+6.4) | 159.6 (-4.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -12.8 (+6.2) | 161.5 (-6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -13.6 (+5.4) | 162.4 (-7.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UGA 74 – 69 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-8 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#25) | 5.5 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#40) | 0.46 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#33) | 1.04 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#60) | 0.481 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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