Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -115 SC -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -1.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -1.3 (-11.3) | 138.9 (-4.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -0.1 (-9.9) | 141.0 (-7.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -0.6 (-10.6) | 137.8 (-3.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.9 (-10.9) | 137.3 (-3.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UGA 74 – 69 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#84) | 9.3 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#51) | 3.00 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#63) | 3.50 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#47) | 0.606 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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