Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -360 SC +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -10.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -9.9 (+1.1) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -9.8 (+1.2) | 132.9 (-1.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -9.8 (+1.2) | 132.9 (-1.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -9.1 (+1.9) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UGA 74 – 69 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#35) | 6.7 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#26) | 1.05 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#24) | 1.46 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#35) | 0.536 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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