Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SC -275 UGA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SC -5.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -6.8 (-11.8) | 136.6 (+6.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -4.7 (-9.7) | 136.6 (+6.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -6.2 (-11.2) | 135.4 (+7.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SC -6.6 (-11.6) | 137.6 (+5.4) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#71) | 5.9 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#12) | 1.81 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#13) | 2.10 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#25) | 0.594 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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