Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SC -105 UGA -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -3.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -2.0 (-7.0) | 140.0 (-3.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -1.8 (-7.2) | 137.8 (-0.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -1.8 (-7.2) | 139.4 (-2.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -2.3 (-6.7) | 139.4 (-2.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UGA 74 – 69 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#77) | 14.3 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#82) | 2.70 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#71) | 3.52 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#138) | 0.582 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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