Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | SC +164 UGA -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -7.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -3.7 (-1.3) | 161.2 (-16.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -3.8 (-1.2) | 164.0 (-19.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -4.1 (-0.9) | 161.4 (-16.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -4.6 (-0.4) | 161.2 (-16.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UGA 74 – 69 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#82) | 19.4 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#105) | 2.32 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#84) | 3.12 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#155) | 0.585 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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