Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -12.5 Home covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money RMU -1050 / CLE +675
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +19 147 Won
Massey RMU -13.6 (+5.4) — —
Massey Totals — 162.7 (-15.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -14.1 (+4.9) 154.6 (-7.6) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -12.3 (+6.7) 156.2 (-9.2) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -14.4 (+4.6) 153.4 (-6.4) 89% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -12.2 (+6.8) 154.8 (-7.8) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 RMU 85 – 68 CLE
Feb 13, 2025 RMU 68 – 59 CLE
Jan 9, 2025 CLE 80 – 69 RMU
Feb 25, 2024 CLE 73 – 71 RMU
Jan 28, 2024 CLE 66 – 64 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU CLE
Overall 22-11 11-22
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 14-3 7-8
Away 8-7 3-13
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 5-0 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.8 78.6
Avg Pts Against 73.4 88.6
Massey -0.3 (#169) -10.9 (#321)
Bradley-Terry 0.21 (#148) -1.43 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#146) -1.89 (#300)
RPI 0.511 (#155) 0.432 (#310)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU CLE
FG% 46.9% 44.5%
3PT% 38.1% 37.5%
REB / G 37.0 31.0
OREB / G 12.8 9.2
AST / TO 1.43 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 54.2%
TOV% 18.3% 18.0%
ORB% 37.4% 27.5%
FT Rate 19.6% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 57.1%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 15.0%
DRB% 71.6% 63.0%
Opp FT Rate 32.0% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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