Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -140 CLE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -5.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -1.6 (-12.6) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -2.5 (-13.5) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -2.3 (-13.3) | 142.5 (+6.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -2.0 (-13.0) | 141.5 (+7.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | RMU 83 – 64 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | RMU 85 – 68 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | RMU 68 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLE 73 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CLE 66 – 64 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 16-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#222) | -4.2 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#172) | -0.20 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#177) | -0.06 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#207) | 0.472 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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