I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CLE -2.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money RMU +105 / CLE -133
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual CLE +2 144 Lost
Massey CLE -2.0 (+0.0) — —
Massey Totals — 152.0 (-8.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 30% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 26% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLE -2.8 (+0.8) 149.3 (-5.3) 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLE -2.0 (+0.0) 146.8 (-2.8) 45% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLE -2.3 (+0.3) 147.3 (-3.3) 41% ✓
Baseline ML CLE -2.2 (+0.2) 148.8 (-4.8) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 RMU 83 – 64 CLE
Feb 13, 2026 RMU 85 – 68 CLE
Feb 13, 2025 RMU 68 – 59 CLE
Jan 9, 2025 CLE 80 – 69 RMU
Jan 28, 2024 CLE 66 – 64 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU CLE
Overall 10-22 21-15
Conference 6-14 11-9
Home 7-9 14-3
Away 3-13 6-10
Neutral 0-0 1-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 74.7
Avg Pts Against 77.4 73.7
Massey -6.8 (#284) -1.5 (#185)
Bradley-Terry -1.61 (#312) -0.13 (#184)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.02 (#316) -0.28 (#193)
RPI 0.437 (#296) 0.501 (#172)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU CLE
FG% 43.5% 44.2%
3PT% 33.3% 34.6%
REB / G 34.7 35.2
OREB / G 12.1 13.1
AST / TO 0.96 1.23
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 49.7%
TOV% 19.8% 15.1%
ORB% 33.6% 34.3%
FT Rate 21.8% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 20.0%
DRB% 70.4% 63.9%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 27.1%

Game Analysis

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