Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -195 RMU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -3.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -3.1 (-12.1) | 139.7 (-12.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -3.4 (-12.4) | 138.0 (-11.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.0 (-11.0) | 138.2 (-11.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.7 (-11.7) | 140.7 (-13.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | RMU 83 – 64 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | RMU 85 – 68 CLE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | CLE 80 – 69 RMU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLE 73 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CLE 66 – 64 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#160) | -0.4 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#119) | 0.34 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#117) | 0.10 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#114) | 0.514 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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