Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | CLE +154 RMU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +17 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -4.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -3.2 (-13.8) | 154.7 (-1.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -2.5 (-14.5) | 152.4 (+0.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -2.1 (-14.9) | 153.8 (-0.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -2.0 (-15.0) | 154.2 (-1.2) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | RMU 83 – 64 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | RMU 68 – 59 CLE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | CLE 80 – 69 RMU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLE 73 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CLE 66 – 64 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#303) | -2.5 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#263) | -0.09 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#278) | -0.15 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#278) | 0.496 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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