Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -278 CCU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -4.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -4.2 (-5.2) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -5.9 (-6.9) | 142.4 (-5.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -5.4 (-6.4) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -4.3 (-5.3) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | JMU 67 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JMU 74 – 73 CCU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JMU 73 – 64 CCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | JMU 86 – 76 CCU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | JMU 105 – 67 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#217) | -4.7 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#171) | -0.04 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#185) | -0.34 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#124) | 0.510 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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