Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CCU +100 JMU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -1.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -1.6 (-3.6) | 142.4 (-10.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.6 (-2.6) | 143.1 (-11.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -1.6 (-3.6) | 139.7 (-7.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -1.6 (-3.6) | 139.6 (-7.6) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCU 69 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JMU 74 – 73 CCU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JMU 73 – 64 CCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | JMU 86 – 76 CCU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | JMU 105 – 67 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#241) | -3.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#168) | -0.30 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#199) | -0.50 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#156) | 0.503 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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