Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -3300 CCU +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +38 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -21.7 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -18.6 (+19.4) | 154.5 (+17.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -18.5 (+19.5) | 155.4 (+16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -16.5 (+21.5) | 151.8 (+20.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -18.2 (+19.8) | 152.8 (+19.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCU 69 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | JMU 67 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JMU 74 – 73 CCU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JMU 73 – 64 CCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | JMU 86 – 76 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-11 |
| Away | 12-2 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#68) | -9.4 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#55) | -2.00 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#73) | -2.40 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#111) | 0.378 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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