Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -5000 CCU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -14.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -11.2 (-2.2) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -14.0 (-5.0) | 136.9 (+0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -11.0 (-2.0) | 139.8 (-2.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -11.1 (-2.1) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCU 69 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | JMU 67 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JMU 74 – 73 CCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | JMU 86 – 76 CCU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | JMU 105 – 67 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#153) | -10.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | -2.02 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#138) | -2.53 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#88) | 0.387 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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