Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +1200 JMU -1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -15.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -13.2 (+3.2) | 151.8 (+10.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -13.9 (+3.9) | 151.5 (+10.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -13.0 (+3.0) | 154.1 (+7.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -14.2 (+4.2) | 154.2 (+7.8) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCU 69 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | JMU 67 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JMU 74 – 73 CCU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JMU 73 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | JMU 105 – 67 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 32-4 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-11 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#319) | 9.5 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#331) | 2.03 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#322) | 2.24 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#339) | 0.560 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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