Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -245 NWST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -8.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -6.6 (+5.4) | 131.9 (-1.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -7.1 (+4.9) | 133.0 (-3.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -6.1 (+5.9) | 134.3 (-4.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -6.2 (+5.8) | 133.0 (-3.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NWST 79 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | NWST 66 – 63 AMCC |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMCC 73 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AMCC 72 – 61 NWST |
| Jan 27, 2024 | AMCC 79 – 68 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 8-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#192) | -6.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#222) | -1.55 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#196) | -1.95 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#207) | 0.428 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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